Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
50.73% ( 0.75) | 25.48% ( -0.24) | 23.78% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.4% ( 0.48) | 53.6% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.9% ( 0.4) | 75.1% ( -0.41) |
Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.85% ( 0.52) | 21.15% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46% ( 0.8) | 54% ( -0.8) |
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.35% ( -0.2) | 37.64% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% ( -0.2) | 74.42% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.78% |
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