SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
20.79% ( -0.34) | 23.79% ( 0.02) | 55.42% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( -0.46) | 49.97% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.41) | 71.95% ( 0.41) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( -0.6) | 38.51% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( -0.58) | 75.26% ( 0.58) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.05) | 17.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( -0.09) | 48.67% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.79% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.2% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.41% |
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