Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 77.83%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Qingdao win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.