Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 72.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 9.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.