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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 29
Sep 8, 2020 at 11am UK
Yuexiushan Stadium
H

Guangzhou R&F
3 - 1
Henan Jianye

Saba (12', 39'), Ye (43')
Ye (13'), Dembele (40')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dourado (35' pen.)
Kim (30'), Ma (42'), Chow (58'), Dourado (60')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Henan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Jianye win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Jianye win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan
35.76%22.86%41.38%
Both teams to score 65.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.65%35.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.63%57.37%
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77%20.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44%52.56%
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3%17.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66%48.34%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 35.76%
    Henan 41.38%
    Draw 22.86%
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan
2-1 @ 7.92%
1-0 @ 5.72%
2-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 3.58%
3-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 2.15%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.34%
3-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 41.38%


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