Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.