Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.09%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Qingdao win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
