Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.