Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
-0.6) 
0.16) 
