SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
59.4% ( -0.26) | 21.19% ( 0.08) | 19.41% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.1) | 40.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.1) | 62.96% ( 0.1) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.67% ( -0.11) | 13.33% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.82% ( -0.22) | 40.18% ( 0.22) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 0.13) | 34.53% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( 0.13) | 71.25% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.4% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.41% |
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