SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 80.01%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 7.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.62%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 2-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
7.16% ( 0.02) | 12.83% ( 0.03) | 80.01% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.67% ( -0.09) | 31.33% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.22% ( -0.1) | 52.78% ( 0.1) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.01) | 47.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.96% ( -0.01) | 83.04% ( 0.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.93% ( -0.02) | 6.07% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.92% ( -0.07) | 23.08% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.16% | 1-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 12.83% | 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.86% ( -0)0-4 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 80.01% |
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