SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
17.8% ( -0.48) | 22.71% ( -0.07) | 59.49% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.43) | 49.61% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.39) | 71.64% ( 0.38) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.38% ( -0.82) | 41.62% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.89% ( -0.72) | 78.1% ( 0.72) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( 0.03) | 16.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( 0.06) | 45.89% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.8% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 11.16% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 59.49% |
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