SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
36.89% ( 0.92) | 27.04% ( -0.04) | 36.06% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 50.77% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( 0.16) | 54.55% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( 0.14) | 75.89% ( -0.14) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( 0.63) | 28.49% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( 0.79) | 64.26% ( -0.79) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( -0.45) | 28.99% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( -0.56) | 64.89% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.89% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.05% |
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