SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shenzhen |
69.97% ( 0.02) | 17.66% ( -0.01) | 12.37% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.72% ( 0.04) | 38.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.44% ( 0.04) | 60.55% ( -0.04) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.18% ( 0.02) | 9.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.39% ( 0.04) | 32.61% ( -0.04) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.92% ( 0.01) | 42.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.5% ( 0.01) | 78.5% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 4.82% Total : 69.96% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.66% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.37% |
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