Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 75.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 9.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.37) 
