Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou City would win this match.
