SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shenzhen |
50.24% ( 0.05) | 24.42% ( -0.06) | 25.33% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.95% ( 0.25) | 48.05% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( 0.23) | 70.21% ( -0.22) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.12) | 19.15% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( 0.19) | 50.8% ( -0.19) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0.14) | 33.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( 0.15) | 69.87% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.24% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
