SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
21.46% ( 0.25) | 22.49% ( 0) | 56.04% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( 0.3) | 43.65% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( 0.29) | 66.04% ( -0.29) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( 0.4) | 34.26% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% ( 0.43) | 70.96% ( -0.43) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( 0.02) | 15.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% ( 0.03) | 44.23% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 21.46% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.04% |
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