SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
50.86% ( 0.22) | 23.67% ( -0.05) | 25.47% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( 0.08) | 44.65% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( 0.07) | 67.01% ( -0.07) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.11) | 17.61% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( 0.19) | 48.19% ( -0.2) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.1) | 31.32% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( -0.11) | 67.68% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 25.47% |
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