Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.