SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 7.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.49%) and 0-1 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Port |
7.28% ( 0.11) | 14.74% ( 0.21) | 77.98% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 41.83% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0.57) | 40.8% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.81% ( -0.59) | 63.19% ( 0.59) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.75% ( -0.1) | 54.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.57% ( -0.06) | 87.42% ( 0.06) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( -0.21) | 8.57% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.37% ( -0.51) | 29.62% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 7.28% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.74% | 0-2 @ 14.03% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 11.49% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 7.06% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)0-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.57% Total : 77.97% |
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