SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
23.46% ( -0.26) | 27.08% ( -0.57) | 49.46% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.44% ( 1.69) | 59.56% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.1% ( 1.28) | 79.9% ( -1.28) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( 0.71) | 41.3% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.17% ( 0.63) | 77.82% ( -0.62) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 1.15) | 24.24% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( 1.6) | 58.58% ( -1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 14.18% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.45% |
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