SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
27.63% ( -0.34) | 23.31% ( 0.02) | 49.06% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( -0.33) | 41.29% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( -0.33) | 63.69% ( 0.34) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( -0.41) | 27.93% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% ( -0.52) | 63.56% ( 0.53) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( 0) | 17.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.84% ( -0) | 47.16% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.63% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.06% |
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