SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
52.96% ( 0.03) | 22.33% ( -0.01) | 24.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.4% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.77% ( 0.05) | 39.23% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.43% ( 0.05) | 61.57% ( -0.05) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( 0.03) | 14.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.73% ( 0.05) | 43.27% ( -0.05) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( 0.02) | 29.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( 0.02) | 64.92% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.96% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.71% |
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