Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.96) 
0.5) 
