SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
49.82% ( 0.17) | 24.1% ( -0.02) | 26.07% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% ( -0.05) | 46.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% ( -0.05) | 68.36% ( 0.04) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.05) | 18.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( 0.08) | 49.79% ( -0.08) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.15) | 31.59% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( -0.17) | 67.99% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.35% Total : 49.82% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.07% |
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