SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
19.16% ( 0.03) | 23.61% ( 0.03) | 57.23% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -0.1) | 51.32% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.09) | 73.14% ( 0.09) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( -0.03) | 41.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( -0.03) | 77.6% ( 0.03) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.06) | 17.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( -0.1) | 48.38% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.16% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.23% |
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