SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
33.76% ( 0.53) | 25.4% ( 0.04) | 40.84% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( -0.03) | 47.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.03) | 70.06% ( 0.03) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.31) | 27.18% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( 0.41) | 62.58% ( -0.41) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( -0.29) | 23.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( -0.43) | 57.2% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.76% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.84% |
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