Both sides enter the contest with just one point in three games, and with winning proving to be a difficult task for the two teams, we think that they could cancel each other out on Thursday, resulting in the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.19) 
0.26) 
