SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
28.27% ( -0.48) | 25.06% ( -0.05) | 46.67% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( -0.04) | 48.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.04) | 70.78% ( 0.04) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -0.37) | 31.28% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( -0.44) | 67.63% ( 0.44) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.21) | 20.88% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( 0.34) | 53.59% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.66% |
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