SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
71.52% ( -0.17) | 16.85% ( 0.09) | 11.63% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( -0.24) | 36.36% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.51% ( -0.26) | 58.49% ( 0.26) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( -0.1) | 8.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.43% ( -0.24) | 30.57% ( 0.24) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.03) | 42.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( -0.02) | 78.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 71.52% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.85% | 1-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 11.63% |
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