SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
44.66% ( -0.04) | 24.89% ( -0.02) | 30.44% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.09) | 46.79% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.09) | 69.05% ( -0.09) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( 0.02) | 21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( 0.04) | 53.76% ( -0.04) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.08) | 28.77% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% ( 0.1) | 64.62% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.44% |
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