SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
32.22% ( 0.05) | 27.28% ( 0.02) | 40.51% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.04% ( -0.05) | 55.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( -0.04) | 77.06% ( 0.04) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( 0.01) | 32.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( 0.01) | 68.69% ( -0.01) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0.06) | 27.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( -0.09) | 62.49% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.51% |
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