SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
41.71% ( -0.05) | 26.36% ( -0.07) | 31.93% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( 0.3) | 52.43% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.26) | 74.11% ( -0.26) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( 0.11) | 24.85% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( 0.16) | 59.44% ( -0.16) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( 0.23) | 30.6% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( 0.27) | 66.84% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.7% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.93% |
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