Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
