Club World Cup | First Round
Dec 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Auckland City win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Auckland City |
60.05% ( 0.03) | 22.14% ( -0.02) | 17.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( 0.03) |
| 52.72% ( 0.05) | 47.28% ( -0.05) |
| 30.5% ( 0.05) | 69.5% ( -0.05) |
| 84.67% ( 0.03) | 15.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.93% ( 0.05) | 44.07% ( -0.05) |
| 59.77% ( 0.02) | 40.23% ( -0.01) |
