Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
We said: Damac 1-2 Al Ittihad
There has been a noticeable uptick in performances by Al Ittihad since the arrival of Marcelo Gallardo, and the Argentine manager is heavily fancied to keep his unbeaten record intact here. The hosts are certainly no pushover on their home patch, but we feel that the visitors will just about edge this one by the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Damac had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Damac | Draw | Al Ittihad |
24.56% ( -0.02) | 23.5% ( 0) | 51.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.02) |
| 55.27% ( -0.02) | 44.73% ( 0.02) |
| 32.91% ( -0.02) | 67.09% ( 0.02) |
| 67.89% ( -0.03) | 32.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.41% ( -0.03) | 68.58% ( 0.03) |
| 82.76% ( 0) | 17.24% ( -0) |
