Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Manchester City |
13.34% (![]() | 17.95% (![]() | 68.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.83% (![]() | 37.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.63% (![]() | 59.36% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.14% (![]() | 39.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.48% (![]() | 76.52% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.17% (![]() | 9.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.37% (![]() | 32.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 3.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.37% 3-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.69% Total : 13.34% | 1-1 @ 8.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.95% | 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-5 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 4.07% Total : 68.71% |
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