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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
LL

Man City
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Haaland (54'), Foden (70'), Alvarez (87')
Dias (21')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Openda (13', 33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 1-1 Liverpool
Saturday, November 25 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawRB Leipzig
56.32% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 19.7% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 23.97% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 69.43% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)27.16% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.31% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)47.68% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)9.93% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.14% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)32.86% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.012 -0.01)22.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.67% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 56.32%
    RB Leipzig 23.97%
    Draw 19.7%
Manchester CityDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.25% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 56.32%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.7%
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.19%
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 23.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Liverpool
Saturday, November 25 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-4 Man City
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Young Boys
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 6-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Man City
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-3 Man City
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Koln
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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