Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | RB Leipzig |
56.32% (![]() | 19.7% (![]() | 23.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.84% (![]() | 27.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.31% (![]() | 47.68% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% (![]() | 9.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.14% (![]() | 32.86% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% (![]() | 56.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.95% Total : 56.32% | 1-1 @ 7.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 5.7% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.19% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.97% |
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