SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
69.88% ( 3.86) | 16.09% ( -1.59) | 14.03% ( -2.27) |
| Both teams to score 64.08% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.07% ( 3.11) | 25.92% ( -3.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.88% ( 3.91) | 46.11% ( -3.91) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.27% ( 1.55) | 6.73% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.11% ( 4.01) | 24.88% ( -4.01) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.54) | 31.29% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( -0.63) | 67.65% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.34)1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.66)4-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.57)4-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.3)5-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.52)5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.47)5-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.28)6-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.32)4-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.28)Other @ 4.06% Total : 69.88% | 1-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.88) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 16.09% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.56)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.35)Other @ 2.84% Total : 14.03% |
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