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Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2023 at 10pm UK
Subaru Park
NE

Philadelphia
3 - 1
New England

Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

The Union were unbeaten in 16 of their 17 MLS home contests this season, conceding just 13 goals over that stretch, and they are more than accustomed to handling these pressure situations. New England may have won their previous playoff matchup at Subaru Park (1-0 in 2020), but they leave too many gaps in behind, which the home side should be able to exploit.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
56% (1.084 1.08) 22.62% (0.289 0.29) 21.38% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-2.896 -2.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-2.937 -2.94)44.31% (2.945 2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-2.915 -2.92)66.69% (2.922 2.92)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)15.66% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-1.233 -1.23)44.69% (1.241 1.24)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-2.896 -2.9)34.72% (2.903 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (-3.191 -3.19)71.45% (3.198 3.2)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.99%
    New England Revolution 21.38%
    Draw 22.62%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.07% (1.019 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.757 0.76)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.33 -0.33)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.665 0.67)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.287 0.29)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-2 Atlanta
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Dallas
Thursday, September 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 New England
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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