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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
45.3% ( 1.1) | 23.54% ( 0.55) | 31.16% ( -1.65) |
| Both teams to score 61.38% ( -2.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% ( -3.41) | 40.25% ( 3.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% ( -3.6) | 62.62% ( 3.6) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.92) | 18.07% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( -1.59) | 48.99% ( 1.58) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -2.61) | 25.08% ( 2.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( -3.74) | 59.76% ( 3.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.96)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.64)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.71% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.33)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.68)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.16% |
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