SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
47.07% ( -1.07) | 24.28% ( 0.14) | 28.65% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( -0.04) | 45.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( -0.04) | 67.4% ( 0.04) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( -0.45) | 19.26% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( -0.75) | 50.98% ( 0.75) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( 0.65) | 29.14% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( 0.79) | 65.07% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.41% Total : 28.65% |
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