Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Pachuca
37.98% ( -0.05)	24.28% ( 0)	37.74% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.42% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.76% (

-0.02)

42.24% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.36% (

-0.02)

64.64% (

0.02)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

-0.03)

22.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

-0.05)

55.63% (

0.05)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

0.01)

22.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

0.02)

55.82% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Puebla 37.98%

Pachuca 37.74%

Draw 24.28%

Puebla	Draw	Pachuca
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.98%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.74%