SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Pachuca |
46.88% ( 0.25) | 23.99% ( -0.04) | 29.12% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% ( 0.08) | 43.45% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0.08) | 65.85% ( -0.08) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( 0.14) | 18.7% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.94% ( 0.23) | 50.06% ( -0.23) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.1) | 27.99% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.37% ( -0.13) | 63.63% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.12% |
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