SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
44.45% ( -0.23) | 24.75% ( 0.11) | 30.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.42) | 45.97% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( -0.4) | 68.28% ( 0.4) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.27) | 20.75% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( -0.43) | 53.39% ( 0.43) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.13) | 28.13% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( -0.16) | 63.8% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.81% |
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