Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.61%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.
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