SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Belize had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Belize win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belize | Draw | Guatemala |
18.66% ( 0.04) | 23.19% ( -0.03) | 58.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( 0.17) | 50.31% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( 0.15) | 72.26% ( -0.15) |
| Belize Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( 0.15) | 41.03% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.42% ( 0.13) | 77.58% ( -0.13) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.05) | 17.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.83% ( 0.1) | 47.17% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belize | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.66% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.94% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 58.14% |
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