SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Argentina | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 43.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Guatemala |
43.95% ( 0.07) | 28.33% ( -0.01) | 27.72% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.77% ( 0) | 61.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( 0) | 81.16% ( -0.01) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( 0.04) | 27.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( 0.05) | 63.3% ( -0.05) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.05) | 38.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.81% ( -0.04) | 75.18% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.94% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.72% |
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