SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Guatemala |
38.09% ( -0.2) | 26.09% ( 0.09) | 35.82% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( -0.39) | 50.58% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.34) | 72.5% ( 0.34) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -0.29) | 25.94% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( -0.39) | 60.94% ( 0.39) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.12) | 27.23% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( -0.16) | 62.65% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.82% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
